August 2025 Market Commentary

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In this month’s market commentary, we explore a fundamental truth that investors often overlook: the more you try to beat the S&P 500 every month, the more likely you are to lose sight of long-term success.

Darwin’s model continues to balance patience with positioning. While equity exposure has increased modestly, core defensive assets like gold remain in place. The economic map has shifted — Darwin no longer sits squarely in a stagflationary recession scenario. Instead, it's now acknowledging a higher probability of a Drug-Induced Recovery, driven by sentiment, policy hopes, and tariff easing. But caution remains. With markets technically in overbought territory, the risk of a correction — especially in an erratic news cycle — remains on Darwin’s radar.

In this month’s podcast, "The Impossible Ask," Sudhir Holla, CEO of myStockDNA, breaks down the unrealistic expectations placed on advisors: outperform the market and avoid drawdowns — all at once.

Using real portfolio data and behavioral insights, the episode dismantles the myth of the perfect portfolio. Even a strategy that doubles the S&P over a decade and has zero drawdowns still “loses” nearly half the time at the monthly level. That’s the reality of managing to risk — not chasing performance. And in a world driven by headlines, emotional reactions, and political noise, the real alpha lies in staying calm, staying invested, and educating clients on what actually works.

👇 Watch the full podcast segment below



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