Winning by Not Losing

Good news — our myStockDNA blog, Winning by Not Losing , has found a new home on Substack . 🎉 What does this mean for you? The same ideas, strategies, and reflections you’ve come to expect — on risk, resilience, and how to “win by not losing” — now in a cleaner, easier-to-read format delivered straight to your inbox. Philosophically speaking, moving to Substack is a small act of efficiency: fewer distractions, fewer frictions, and more time to engage with the ideas that matter. After all, the goal isn’t just to beat benchmarks — it’s to think more clearly, avoid the big mistakes, and maybe even retire a little earlier. Check it out here: winningbynotlosing.substack.com Thanks for being part of this community. We’re excited to keep exploring the art (and discipline) of winning by not losing with you. — Sudhir

Beat the S&P 500? The Truth About Risk, Returns & Patience Can you really beat the S&P 500 every month and avoid every crash? In this episode of Winning by Not Losing , Sudhir Holla, CEO of myStockDNA, reveals why even the most “perfect” portfolios — those that double the S&P’s returns over a decade — still lose nearly half the time in monthly results. You’ll learn how smart investing strategies, disciplined risk management, and portfolio diversification can help you outperform the market over time. We discuss how market volatility, emotional decision-making, and headline-driven reactions can derail even the best portfolios — and why patience and consistency are the real alpha. Whether you’re a financial advisor, a long-term investor, or just looking for practical stock market tips, this episode offers insights on managing downside risk, building resilient portfolios, and using data-driven strategies to stay ahead. Discover how to invest with confidence, balance ris...

In this month’s market commentary , we explore a fundamental truth that investors often overlook: the more you try to beat the S&P 500 every month, the more likely you are to lose sight of long-term success. Darwin’s model continues to balance patience with positioning. While equity exposure has increased modestly, core defensive assets like gold remain in place. The economic map has shifted — Darwin no longer sits squarely in a stagflationary recession scenario. Instead, it's now acknowledging a higher probability of a Drug-Induced Recovery, driven by sentiment, policy hopes, and tariff easing. But caution remains. With markets technically in overbought territory, the risk of a correction — especially in an erratic news cycle — remains on Darwin’s radar. Using real portfolio data and behavioral insights, the episode dismantles the myth of the perfect portfolio. Even a strategy that doubles the S&P over a decade and has zero drawdowns still “loses” nearly half the time at...

Market Report - August 1, 2025 🧠 Market Report - August 1, 2025 Summary This market analysis report synthesizes recent asset class performance and insights from an expert economist panel representing both progressive and conservative views. The analysis employs the Moneyball methodology, guiding asset allocation by following the money across different economic regimes. The current economic environment suggests a transition towards an inflationary growth regime, characterized by strong GDP growth and easing inflation, but with caution in the labor market and investment sectors. This report has been prepared by ECO, an AI Economist and Market Analyst developed by myStockDNA. Market Report Market Analysis Report Prepared by ECO - the AI economist created by myStockDNA This market analysis report synthesizes recent asset class performance and insights from an expert economist panel representing both progressive and conservative views. The analysis empl...

In this month’s market commentary , we explore the widening gap between cautious economic forecasts and a surging equity market. While most economists predict modest GDP growth and highlight lingering inflation risks, equity markets continue to rally — driven by a potent mix of sentiment, option dynamics, and political optimism. Darwin’s model didn’t join the early V-shaped rebound — and that’s by design. It avoided the drop, stayed defensive, and is now cautiously increasing exposure to equities while maintaining core protection through gold and cash. This month, the model shifted slightly toward what we call a Drug-Induced Recovery — a scenario supported by short-term policy boosts and tariff relief, but not by fundamental economic strength. 👇 Watch the full podcast segment below

Market Analysis Report - July 1, 2025 🧠 Market Report - July 1, 2025 Summary This market analysis report has been prepared by ECO, the AI economist developed by myStockDNA, taking into account recent asset class performance and insights from an expert economist panel representing both progressive and conservative views. The analysis employs the Moneyball methodology to guide asset allocation, focusing on where the money flows across different economic regimes. Market Report Market Analysis Report Prepared by ECO - the AI economist created by myStockDNA This market analysis report has been prepared by ECO, the AI economist developed by myStockDNA, taking into account recent asset class performance and insights from an expert economist panel representing both progressive and conservative views. The analysis employs the Moneyball methodology to guide asset allocation, focusing on where the money flows across different economic regimes. Recent Economic...

As of mid-2025, U.S. equity markets are rallying—driven by a mix of sentiment, options market dynamics, and forward-looking policy optimism. This surge comes despite restrained macroeconomic forecasts from most professional economists, resulting in a growing disconnect between Wall Street’s optimism and Main Street’s data. The Darwin model, focused on managing downside risk, has remained cautious through the rally but is now increasing equity exposure modestly in response to the market’s momentum— while maintaining significant protection primarily through gold and cash equivalents.  The Economist-Equity Disconnect Forecast Divergence Forecasts for 2025 remain split: Conservative economists , such as the Federal Reserve and University of Michigan RSQE, expect U.S. GDP growth between 1.3% and 1.9% , citing elevated inflation, policy uncertainty, and a softening labor market. The Fed’s median projection is 1.4% with downside risks prevailing . Liberal and policy-aligned f...